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Return of Nawaz Sharif, a day of hope..

Return of Nawaz Sharif, a day of hope..

By Qamar Bashir

The tables turned swiftly and unexpectedly against Imran Khan and the PTI. Nawaz Sharif, who had been in self-imposed exile in London for over four years, was transformed from a declared absconder and disqualified for life from electoral contests into a free man.

His arrival was marked with grand receptions by associates, loyal followers, and the public, symbolizing a night of celebration and a day of hope across the country. In a remarkable public address, he assured the establishment that he harbors no intentions of seeking political revenge. While outlining his economic agenda, he pledged to continue with his prior policies, likely with the same team.

When discussing foreign policy, he emphasized the futility of maintaining an antagonistic stance toward neighboring nations. Instead, he advocated for breaking the cycle of dependency and harnessing Pakistan’s abundant natural, divine, and human resources for progress and prosperity.

Although not explicitly stated, he alluded to the consequences of those responsible for his downfall three times and warned against a repeat scenario for the fourth time. His confident demeanor, the warm reception at the airport, official protocols, and exuberance conveyed a resounding message: Nawaz Sharif has returned to the political arena with renewed vigor, especially with his potential challengers neutralized.

In a remarkable turn of events, a fate that appeared nearly impossible just a few months ago was transformed into a potential reality. The same strategy that was once employed to turn the judiciary, laws, and constitution against Nawaz Sharif was now used in reverse, effectively altering the constitutional landscape and institutions to his advantage. This remarkable shift allowed him to return from exile, fully exonerated and free of any charges, akin to a rebirth.

Nawaz Sharif, who had been a vocal and staunch opponent of the Establishment, had consistently held them responsible for engineering his removal in 2017. He accused them of colluding with the judiciary to convict him in multiple corruption cases, leading to his lifetime disqualification from politics and subsequent exile in London. Surprisingly, the enduring animosity was set aside, and both sides forgave and forgot. The Establishment, despite its longstanding enmity, became Nawaz Sharif’s proponents, facilitators, and supporters in his journey back to power. This once again exemplifies that, much like in international relations, in domestic politics, there are no permanent friends or permanent enemies.

This seemingly implausible turn of events was achieved through the unwavering determination, resilience, intelligence, and leadership of Maryam Nawaz, and none other. Her steadfast narrative, echoed by all PML(N) leaders without exception, maintained that their leader had been innocent from the very outset. They contended that during Nawaz Sharif’s tenure, the country had made significant progress and was poised for remarkable growth. They argued that a dubious plan was concocted as an experiment to elevate Imran Khan to power. To pave the way for his ascent, baseless and frivolous cases were fabricated against Nawaz Sharif. Ultimately, through collusion and subjugation of the judiciary, he was unseated, imprisoned, and disqualified for life on charges that belied constitutional and legal principles, effectively casting aside the foundations of justice.

Their demand is straightforward: the reversal of all unconstitutional, unlawful, and arbitrary actions that had been used to remove Nawaz Sharif from power. They seek to rectify the injustices committed against him and the nation, restoring him to the same position from which he was ousted. Moreover, they call for an examination of all omissions and commissions that facilitated the rise of the PTI and the placement of Imran Khan in power.

This once seemingly impossible and unattainable narrative was gradually woven into reality through the sheer merit of Maryam Nawaz Sharif, who displayed remarkable grit, tenacity, courage, and determination even in the face of daunting and formidable adversity. She orchestrated the political landscape with exceptional finesse, strategically positioning her power players and leveraging them effectively and intelligently. Her moves were marked by mastery, precision, and creativity, all executed at the right moments with strength and meticulous calibration to achieve the desired outcomes.

First, she succeeded in fully exonerating her father, Nawaz Sharif, while confining Imran Khan to a political cage, dismantling his party, removing him from the mainstream media, ensnaring him in numerous legal entanglements, and rendering his return seemingly impossible—much like how Nawaz Sharif’s return appeared infeasible just days ago.

Once she had silenced Imran Khan, she adeptly shaped public opinion, maintained the core party leadership largely intact with a few notable exceptions, managed to keep the establishment content, curtailed her father’s outbursts against the establishment, adroitly manipulated the media landscape, and kept potential contenders for the premiership at bay.

Maryam Nawaz Sharif was well aware that her father’s once-impossible return to Pakistan was riddled with uncertainties and complicated by legal issues, with a looming risk of his arrest shortly after setting foot in the country. This apprehension was explicitly articulated by the caretaker interior minister, who initially stated that Nawaz Sharif, being a convicted individual, was likely to be apprehended upon his return. However, following a stern rebuke from PML(N) leadership and reprimand from the establishment, the minister promptly retracted his initial statement.

One of the primary challenges Maryam Nawaz Sharif faced was gaining the support of a truncated parliament, which consisted of numerous parties, some of which had a history of intense rivalry with the PML(N), particularly the PPP. Maryam strategically utilized parliament to pass crucial laws, including the Supreme Court Practices and Procedure Act of 2023, which provided her father with an opportunity to appeal his conviction and lifetime disqualification. She was well aware that these laws could not supersede or bypass the constitution, but this was a necessary step to pave the way for Nawaz Sharif’s return. Collaborating closely with the establishment, Maryam secured a safe return for her father, facilitated his protective bail, and set the stage for his reentry into politics and a potential fourth term as Prime Minister.

In exchange for this favor, the PML(N) granted the establishment an extensive range of powers, legitimizing their involvement in civilian matters. This involved appointing both active and retired military officers to key civilian positions and providing legal cover for their roles in financial and economic disciplines.

The Official Secrets (Amendment) Act, 2023 broadens the definition of national security breaches and grants intelligence agencies the authority to conduct raids and detain individuals. The Pakistan Army (Amendment) Act, 2023 allows the military’s intelligence agencies to search individuals or places without a warrant and criminalizes defamation of the armed forces. The National Security Act, 2023 establishes a National Security Council and provides the government with the power to detain those deemed threats to national security. The amendments to the Board of Investment Act, 2023 include involving the army chief in trade and investment decisions, and the National Logistics Corporation Act, 2023 gives the army a monopoly on logistical support. The E-Safety Bill, 2023 addresses online offenses, while the Cantonments (Amendment) Bill, 2023 refines existing frameworks.

In tandem with these efforts, Maryam successfully lobbied for a significant softening of the Accountability Law, leading to the dismissal of numerous NAB cases against her family, including allegations of financial corruption, money laundering, and misuse of public funds. This led to the exoneration of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, the dismissal of a seven-year prison sentence and a substantial fine for Maryam herself, and the clearance of Suleman Shehbaz in a money laundering case. A reinvestigation by the FIA also found Shehbaz Sharif and his son Hamza “innocent” in another money laundering case. These calculated moves were instrumental in achieving her objectives.

Simultaneously, while skillfully negotiating with the establishment, Maryam engaged in a determined campaign against a non-compliant judiciary. She openly defied the Supreme Court’s directive to hold Punjab Assembly elections within 90 days of dissolution, effectively sowing divisions among Supreme Court judges and emboldening other stakeholders to disregard the court’s orders. This strategic maneuver created a pretext for delaying the elections, ensuring that the PML(N) could participate when fully prepared and in a position of strength, aligning with Maryam’s political objectives.

The Pakistani government employed a multi-faceted approach to manipulate the media landscape in favor of the Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML-N) and against Imran Khan. This strategy included media censorship through various coercive tactics, offering financial incentives to compliant outlets, appointing PML-N sympathizers to key media positions, legally harassing critical journalists, and even resorting to violence and intimidation. As a result, the media’s bias in favor of the PML-N was palpable in their coverage of Imran Khan, often depicting him negatively while downplaying or ignoring stories critical of the PML-N.

Having brought her father back safely, Maryam has now set the stage for Nawaz Sharif to make his move. However, the path ahead is riddled with complexities, and the outcome remains uncertain. Nawaz Sharif, who has had a tumultuous history with the Pakistani military, having been ousted from power on three occasions, will need to tread carefully and find common ground with the military if he aims to secure a fourth term as Prime Minister.

Addressing Pakistan’s pressing economic challenges, including high inflation and a growing debt burden, will be paramount in improving the lives of ordinary citizens. The deeply divided political landscape in Pakistan necessitates Sharif to build a broad coalition, reaching out to opposition parties and finding consensus on a range of issues.

Moreover, considering his age and past health issues, Sharif’s physical well-being will be a critical factor in managing the demands of the office.

In the face of these multifaceted challenges, Nawaz Sharif’s future as Prime Minister hinges on his ability to unite the nation and effectively navigate these complexities. Failure to do so could once again lead to his removal from office by the military, mirroring his past experiences.

By Qamar Bashir

Press Secretary to the President (Rtd)

Former Press Minister at Embassy of Pakistan to France

Former MD, SRBC

Proclaimed offender’s return under covert deal a murder of justice: PTI spokesperson

PTI

Terms wastage of billions of rupees on reception of a certified thief an insult to nation

Says attaching hope of economic recovery to those built palaces abroad on plundered wealth a joke

ISLAMABAD, OCT 21 /DNA/ – Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Spokesperson dubbed the homecoming of the convicted proclaimed offender under a covert and clandestine deal as a “murder of justice” and “humiliation of the nation”.

PTI spokesperson said that the national criminal, who should have been in jail, got bail within few minutes by trampling the justice system.

He said that the convicted fugitive was given special concession to materialize the notorious London plan, as neither any judge had any health issue nor had any urgency to go on leave.

PTI spokesperson said that fragility of our judicial system could be judged from the fact that a convicted person who escaped to London on a Rs 50 stamp paper was granted bail without court’s appearance.

However, he recalled that, contrary to it, the country’s most popular leader, implicated in nearly 200 false cases, was denied bail sans appearing in person in the court despite being injured.

PTI spokesperson contended that the mothers and daughters of the nation, who have been imprisoned in the jails for the last 4 months in fabricated and bogus cases, were looking towards honorable judges for justice against unjustified delay in the proceedings of their cases.

He called the wastage of the state resources worth billions of rupees on reception of a certified thief was an insult to the nation, adding that the warrant of the person who stole vehicles from Toshakhana was canceled without any objection.

PTI Spokesman stated that it would be a joke with the country and the nation to pin hope of economic revival from those who build properties, palaces and factories abroad with the nation looted money.

He made it clear that the person, who was responsible for the country’s economic catastrophe during his three stints of rule including the last 17-month-long devastating government, was actually a national criminal.

PTI spokesperson stated that the clique of bandits that befooled the masses for the last three tenures under false and misleading promises would not succeed in any of its new tricks this time around as the nation was well-aware now about their loot and plunder.

Nawaz Sharif says ‘no wish to take revenge’, seeks support of all ‘constitutional institutions’

Nawaz Sharif says ‘no wish to take revenge’, seeks support of all ‘constitutional institutions’

Lahore, OCT 21: Nawaz Sharif says ‘no wish to take revenge’, seeks support of all ‘constitutional institutions’. Deposed prime minister and proclaimed offender Nawaz Sharif, who returned to Pakistan today after spending four years in self-imposed exile, is addressing a massive crowd of supporters at the Minar-i-Pakistan in Lahore.

The PML-N supremo began his much awaited speech with a verse.

“I am meeting you today after several years, but my relationship of love with you is the same. There is no difference in this relationship,” he said. “The love I am seeing in your eyes, I am proud of it.”

Nawaz said he never betrayed his supporter nor did he shy from any kind of sacrifice. He recalled how fake cases were framed against him and his party leaders. “But no one abandoned the PML-N flag.”

“Tell me, who are they who separate Nawaz Sharif from his nation? We are those who built Pakistan. We made Pakistan an atomic power. We brought an end to loadshedding,” he said, highlighting how he produced and provided cheap electricity to the people.

Responding to the crowd cheering, Nawaz said: “I know you want to hear that I love you too.”

“Today, trust me, after seeing your love, I have forgotten all my grief and pain. I don’t even want to remember. But, there are some wounds that can’t ever heal.”

Nawaz, in a quivering voice, said how he had lost his mother and wife “to politics”. He recalled how he couldn’t pay the final respects to his mother, father or wife.

Earlier upon arrival, a visibly emotional PML-N supremo embraced his daughter Maryam and greeted other party leaders on stage. Before his address, the national anthem was played followed by recitation of the Holy Quran.

Meanwhile, PML-N’s Khawaja Saad Rafique read out his party’s resolution condemning Israeli atrocities on Palestinians.

The elder Sharif arrived in Islamabad in the afternoon, where he completed legal and biometric formalities. His chartered plane landed in the capital city with more than 150 people from his party and media organisations, the PML-N said.

Observers say the reason Nawaz arrived in Islamabad first was that his touchdown in the capital was necessary to make bail, earlier granted by the Islamabad High Court on Oct 19.

After completing the formalities, Nawaz left for Lahore and reached his hometown a little after 5pm. He was welcomed by his younger brother Shehbaz Sharif and other party leaders at the airport.

He then offered Maghreb prayers at the Lahore Fort with Shehbaz, Ishaq Dar and other party leaders before making his way to the Minar-i-Pakistan.

Earlier, a visibly emotional Maryam Nawaz mobilised supporters at Minar-i-Pakistan. Her namesake, Marriyum Aurangzeb, could also be seen wiping tears from her face.

Addressing the rally, Maryam said people from across Pakistan had gathered at Minar-i-Pakistan today. “I will not deliver a speech, only Nawaz Sharif will speak to you today.”

“I thought Minar-i-Pakistan was a huge venue, but I didn’t know it would turn out to be small for PML-N supporters,” she said, urging supporters to give Nawaz a historic welcome when he reached Minar-i-Pakistan.

Alongside Maryam, former Punjab chief minister Hamza Shehbaz described how streets in Lahore were packed with supporters. “This is the Pakistan of 2018,” he said.

Rallies from various regions of the country poured into Lahore today, a party spokesperson said. Heavy police contingents were deployed to guard the rally’s venue, said police officer Ali Nasir Rizvi.

Nawaz speaks to media at Dubai airport
“I’m going back to Pakistan after four years today,” Nawaz said today while speaking to the media at Dubai Airport. “When I was leaving Pakistan and going abroad I had no feeling of happiness but today I am happy.”

The ousted premier said he wished the country was in a better state than it was in 2017.

“I get very worried and disappointed seeing the situation in the country. The country that had to move forward is going backwards now economically and unity-wise.”

Terming the situation as “worrisome”, Nawaz said there was still hope and “we should not let it slip from our hands as we are capable of fixing it because we spoilt it ourselves”.

He said the country had to get back on its feet as “nobody else will lift us up”.

“When I remember Pakistan back then, I get hurt, we had said goodbye to the International Monetary Fund, electricity was cheap, the rupee was stable, there was employment, roti cost Rs4, a poor family’s child went to school and medicines were also cheap.”

Nawaz said only the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) can decide when polls will be held, adding that it was the only competent authority and a fair election commission.

“Whatever date the ECP announces, everyone will [abide by it]. My priority is whatever the ECP says. Pakistan has a fair ECP today and I feel it will make the best decision with regards to the election.

“The process takes time. Some work is left. A census has been done. Delimitations have to be carried out. ECP has an eye on all these things.

“We are completely ready for elections,” he added.

Lamenting the treatment meted out to him in the past, Nawaz said he was the person who had gone through 150 court hearings. “Not just me but also my daughter. She even got a clean chit. She had to get it. She didn’t have a position during my government, not even an office.”

He said fake cases were not just filed against his family including former prime minister and his brother Shehbaz Sharif but also ex-interior minister Rana Sanaullah Khan and PML-N leader Hanif Abbasi.

“I even said before leaving that I leave everything to Allah and I still continue doing that.”

Nawaz smirked and said “We are the May 28 ones” when asked about the May 9 violence allegedly carried out by the PTI.

Pakistan conducted nuclear tests on May 28, 1998, under the leadership of the then prime minister Nawaz.

PTI laments ‘two Constitutions’
Reacting to Nawaz’s arrival, PTI Secretary General Omar Ayub Khan called out the “two Constitutions”, comparing the manner in which Nawaz’s biometrics were verified to that of in which PTI Chairman Imran Khan were verified in the past.

He said, “This picture is not only of Nawaz Sharif’s biometrics, but of the funeral of Pakistan’s judicial system. The whole world has seen the coercion and treatment meted out to Imran Khan for the same biometrics.”

PTI leader Khurram Sher Zaman also criticised the judiciary for “facilitating the return of a convicted figure”.

In a post on X, he said, “By facilitating the return of a convicted fugitive, the justice system has given a slap to the faces of the people of Pakistan and sadly, they have no hesitations or shame in doing it.”

Palestinian ministry warns against undermining Palestinian cause amid Gaza destruction

Palestinian ministry warns against undermining Palestinian cause amid Gaza destruction

RAMALLAH, OCT 21: /DNA/ – The Palestinians’ Foreign Ministry and expatriates warns against any political projects to liquidate the Palestinian cause under the dust of the destruction of the Gaza Strip*

The Palestine Liberation Organization, the protector of the rights of our people and its compass, is the closest road to freedom and independence

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates condemns in the strongest terms the crimes of genocide that the occupation warplanes continue to commit in the Gaza Strip and with internationally prohibited weapons, which lead day after day to deepening the humanitarian catastrophe that has befallen all aspects of life in the Gaza Strip, especially Palestinian civilians, as the number of martyrs continues to rise increasingly among those  Including children, as well as the number of citizens under the rubble and continuous destruction, as well as the expansion of the crime of ethnic cleansing and the displacement of more citizens from their homes under the weight of bombing and destruction, which includes all buildings of all kinds, and the destruction of entire areas and leveling them to the ground in the northern Gaza Strip, as if an earthquake had struck it and caused a new catastrophe in  The lives of Palestinian citizens, to the point where numbers and media are no longer able to count and explain the devastation that occurred in the Gaza Strip.

 The Ministry also strongly condemns the violations and crimes of the occupation forces and armed settler militias in the occupied West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and considers them to be an attempt to persecute and attack the Palestinian presence in Jerusalem and all areas classified as (C), and to impose more collective punishments on citizens and torture them in an effort to exploit the current circumstances.  To perpetuate the occupation, the process of annexation, expansion, ethnic cleansing, and apartheid, and to try to control the minds of the Palestinians.

 As the Ministry follows up around the clock with all international bodies on all manifestations of genocide in the Gaza Strip and the occupation’s attacks in the West Bank, it once again warns of the dangers of any political projects being prepared to liquidate the Palestinian cause and the rights of our people under the pretext of self-defense that Israel exploits.  The Ministry emphasizes the continuation of Palestinian diplomacy and its activities not only to expose the dimensions of this devastating Israeli earthquake and its repercussions on the lives of Palestinian civilians as a grave violation of international law, but also to mobilize the broadest international front of pressure to condemn the aggression and stop the war immediately, and to emphasize to the international community that addressing the roots of the conflict and resolving it through…  Ending the Israeli occupation of the land of the State of Palestine is the key to achieving security and stability for the entire region.

 In this context, the Ministry affirms, in its daily follow-ups with decision-making centers in the world, that the Palestine Liberation Organization is the sole legitimate representative of the Palestinian people, the protector of the rights of the Palestinian people, and the one that determines the compass for the freedom and independence of our people.  The Ministry calls for an immediate halt to the aggression, the immediate provision of international protection for the Palestinian people, and a genuine international effort to be made to revive the peace process and negotiations leading to the embodiment of the Palestinian state on the ground with East Jerusalem as its capital.

Pakistan needs to balance itself between a welfare state and a security state: experts

Pakistan needs to balance itself between a welfare state and a security state: experts

DNA

ISLAMABAD, OCT 21: A civil-military dialogue is the only solution to the dilemma persisting between the need for a professional army and military influence in politics. The best forum for this purpose is the National Security Committee (NSC), which needs to effectively function as a platform for regular dialogue and consultation. In addition, both military and civil stakeholders must commit to the Constitution, as well as people’s welfare beyond the power dynamics.

The dilemma is that Pakistan still needs to define itself as a welfare state or security state. Striking a balance between the two is critical to ensuring a strong democratic framework in which the military’s role is subordinate to civilian rule.

This was observed during a session titled ‘Civil-Military Relations in a Democratic Pakistan,’ held as part of the two-day conference titled ‘The Constitution of Pakistan: Lessons for Next 50 Years’ co-organized by the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS), Islamabad, and the Department of Law, Fatima Jinnah Women University (FJWU), Rawalpindi. The conference was addressed by veteran statesmen, jurists, and constitutional experts.

The session, chaired by Lt Gen (r) Naeem Khalid Lodhi, former federal minister for national security, was addressed as keynote speaker by Ahmed Bilal Mehboob, president of Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency (PILDAT), while researchers from various national and international universities presented their papers related to this theme.

“Civil-military relations are the most crucial aspect of the future democratic framework of Pakistan,” remarked Mehboob.

He underscored that “traditional civil-military relations are not sustainable” as “the current mess in economy, polity, and society cannot be separated from the so-called hybrid model of governance.” It is critical to adapt to the current challenges and develop a new, more dynamic approach to civil-military relations, he added.

He stressed the only way forward is through healthy and constructive civil-military dialogue, for which an active “National Security Committee provides an excellent forum” as it can facilitate open communication, develop mutual understanding, and help define a course for Pakistan’s civil-military relations in the future.

The debate around civil-military relations centers heavily on the role of the military and power dynamics between military and civilians. “The problems in civil-to-civil relations, as part of civil-military relations, are often overlooked,” said Lt Gen (r) Lodhi.

He underscored the need to broaden the scope of the civil-military relations dialogue to encompass civil-civil relations, which he remarked, were not functioning well, too, given the executive-judiciary, and federation-provinces-local bodies power dynamics.

Furthermore, he referred to civilian politicians seeking favors with the military to acquire power. He emphasized the significance of assessing the performance of civilian institutions and actors, as the level of collaboration and professionalism across civilian institutions is equally critical to democratic growth.

Regarding the perception that the military defines the country’s national interest, Lodhi said it is a consensus among states that national interest is the welfare and well-being of the people. So it does not matter who defines it as long as it fulfills the purpose, he maintained.

In his analogy, the military is ‘the muscle’ of the state, and civilians ‘the brain.’ Therefore, both must work together to drive national growth. In this regard, “people’s welfare and well-being must be the common goal of both” the military and civilians, he stated. However, he added that politicians should show their capability instead of just seeking popularity.

AFT to showcase cultural diplomacy, UN unity on Nov 2

AFT to showcase cultural diplomacy, UN unity on Nov 2

DNA

ISLAMABAD, OCT 21– Devcom-Pakistan in collaboration with the Ministry of National Heritage and Culture, and Pakistan National Council of the Arts (PNCA) will put up a second edition of ‘All Flags Together’ (AFT 2023) on Thursday November 2 at the PNCA premises. Different educational institutions and organizations will be collaborating to inculcate cultural understanding for peace and showcasing the strength of cultural diplomacy, said the Executive Director Devcom-Pakistan Munir Ahmed in a statement on Saturday. 

Participation of over ten thousand is expected in the daylong activities of cultural engagement of youth and citizens, said Munir Ahmed adding, the cultural showcasing helps understanding each other and closing the gaps while working in collaboration leads to unity for peace and development. We shall aim to understand each other’s national heritage and the valuable work for peace and development. The AFT 2023 has provided different national and international stakeholders to come together and share their thoughts, culture and work.

Giving the details of the event, Munir Ahmed said: “The event will provide youth to interact with diplomats and the UN officials during the youth conference and interactive panel discussion with the experts on ‘Building Global Peace on Human Development and Cultural Understanding’. The daylong event will also include international food stalls, art and craft exhibition, showcase of organizations work, music and cultural performance. It will be a free-entry event for the public but on invitation cards that will be available on different outlets in the twin-cities of Islamabad and Rawalpindi.”  

Munir Ahmed said: Reviving the AFT is meant to stand by the UN organizations and its member states that are struggling for human rights, ensuring protection of cultural heritage, promoting peace through interfaith harmony, democracy and development. Unity and understanding is imperative to mark the UN day annually on 24 October to celebrate the anniversary of the entry into force in 1945 of the UN Charter. The UN is the only global organization with the legitimacy that we need to back strongly to support its mandate. No other global organization gives hope to so many people for a better world and can deliver the future we want. Today, the urgency for all countries to come together, to fulfil the promise of the nations united, is much greater than ever before.

The UN System is a symbol of hope for global unity, development, peace and prosperity. Cultural collaboration is the best model for global unity. All Flags Together is a concept of a daylong event to bring diplomats, expats, development and UN organizations and natives together for a cohesive and collaborative effort to close the gap of bilateral and multilateral and cultural understanding, the Devcom-Pakistan Executive Director said.

China’s Economic Expansion is Shaping US-China Rivalry

China's Economic Expansion is Shaping US-China Rivalry

Dr. Muhammad Akram Zaheer

China’s rapid economic growth over the past two decades has enabled it to extend its economic influence in Latin America, largely due to the absence of a counterstrategy from the United States. Initially, Washington perceived Beijing’s expanding presence as mere economic diversification and thus not a threat to hemispheric or U.S.-Latin American security and military relations.

However, more recently, the United States has started to perceive China’s commercial activities in the region as potentially detrimental, especially concerning U.S. access to rare earth elements, allied port security, and 5G technology. Simultaneously, China’s economy has entered a period of secular decline, and the U.S. is actively pursuing strategies to shift its supply chain away from China.

Consequently, Mexico is becoming an attractive destination for multinational corporations seeking cost-effective manufacturing near the U.S. market. Moreover, Colombia, which has benefited from Chinese trade and investment for years, has drawn closer to Beijing since the inauguration of President Gustavo Petro in 2022. However, it is now questioning the sustainability of this investment and foreign trade relationship, leading it to consider alternatives such as the United States. Nevertheless, Washington’s aim is not to become an alternative sponsor but to reassert its influence by countering China.

To achieve this, the U.S. faces challenges, with one of the major concerns being the rampant use of fentanyl. In the United States alone, overdose deaths linked to fentanyl are projected to reach nearly 110,000 in 2022 over the past eight years. The Joint Economic Committee of the United States Congress estimates that the opioid epidemic cost the U.S. economy $1.5 trillion in 2020 and left more than 6 million people outside the labor market, according to the Council on Foreign Relations. Although fentanyl consumption in Mexico and Colombia is less alarming, it is beginning to gain attention.

However, the most immediate concern in these countries revolves around fentanyl production, insecurity, and corruption associated with drug trafficking. Due to its low production cost and synthetic nature, fentanyl production can quickly scale up. Two Mexican cartels, Sinaloa and Jalisco Nueva Generación, dominate the fentanyl trade between the United States and Mexico.

The Sinaloa cartel is even contemplating expanding operations to Colombia, including establishing fentanyl “kitchens,” sourcing supplies, and potentially infiltrating the healthcare sector for legitimate purposes. Notably, Chinese companies supply nearly all the precursors for fentanyl manufacturing in the Western Hemisphere. Moreover, at least four Chinese companies provide information on improving fentanyl production, including sourcing ingredients, alternative ingredient recommendations, mixing instructions, and access to chemists. Some Chinese companies also use fake labels on shipments or ship chemicals without maintaining customer records.

A counterfeit fentanyl pill, costing as little as 10 cents to produce, can fetch $10 on the street. Chinese criminal groups and Mexican cartels, Sinaloa and Jalisco, have combined their extensive experience in money laundering to facilitate foreign currency exchange, alongside the purchase of advanced chemicals. In response, the U.S. government and its allies are taking action. In February, the Biden administration pledged cooperation with Mexico, Colombia, and Ecuador to combat the growing availability and lethality of illegal drugs containing fentanyl. In March, Mexico’s president reached out to Chinese President Xi Jinping to seek assistance in curbing fentanyl flows to North America, although Beijing denies any wrongdoing.

In April, the United States indicted four high-ranking members of the Sinaloa cartel associated with the fentanyl trade. Additionally, Mexico’s president reported that the country’s navy had intercepted a container from Qingdao, China, containing 75-pound packages with traces of fentanyl and methamphetamine in May. The U.S. also imposed sanctions on seven Chinese companies and six individuals accused of exporting tablet presses to Mexico. Furthermore, the U.S. Department of Justice recently filed criminal charges against four Chinese chemical manufacturers and eight individuals for illegal trafficking of a precursor chemical used in fentanyl production.

Despite these developments, the head of the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) expressed the desire for greater cooperation from Mexico. In Colombia, cocaine has become a secondary concern compared to fentanyl due to its lower lethality and profitability. Notably, the U.S. Embassy in Bogotá announced the indefinite suspension of coca crop monitoring in Colombia and the non-presentation of its annual report on Colombia and cocaine earlier this month. The embassy cited redundancy with UN reports and the need for observation satellites for other purposes.

​Nonetheless, Colombia’s Justice Minister does not anticipate this decision jeopardizing U.S. funding for counter narcotics and other programs. Moreover, U.S. agencies reportedly accused Colombian officials of cooperating in the arrest of Sinaloa cartel members attempting to establish the fentanyl industry in Colombia. Both the Colombian and Mexican governments agree on the necessity to revise their anti-drug strategies. In Bogotá, the Petro administration seeks to depart from punitive, prohibitionist, and military policies and instead target speculation, money laundering, major traffickers, and criminal organizations.

Describing the war on drugs as a failure, Petro emphasizes the importance of not repeating the same mistakes with fentanyl. Similarly, the Mexican government aims to prioritize economic development and reduce youth involvement in criminal organizations. The two presidents plan to meet in early September to discuss new anti-drug strategies, focusing on youth prevention, socioeconomic development, synthetic drugs, and adapting measures to changing societal needs.

Many of these efforts will necessitate collaboration and cooperation with the United States, which has, until recently, been hesitant to link drug trafficking with economic development. The central question is whether Mexico City and Bogotá will align with Washington’s anti-China approach. The answer may hinge on whether the United States is willing to align its counter narcotics efforts with the evolving strategies taking shape in Mexico and Colombia.

The ML-1 Railway: A fulcrum for global trade 

The ML-1 Railway: A fulcrum for global trade 

Qamar Bashir

The visit of the caretaker Prime Minister to China for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) forum meeting has been highly successful. One of the major achievements is the signing of the Mainline-1 (ML-1) railway project, a crucial component of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The ML-1 project aims to connect Peshawar to Karachi through a 2,600-kilometer track with an estimated cost of $7 billion. Planned to be complete in 16 years, it will increase the line capacity from 34 to 134 trains each way per day, moving up to 165 kilometers per hour — twice as fast as they currently run, benefitting various industries in Pakistan, drive the next phase of CPEC projects and enhance economic cooperation between China and Pakistan.

ML-1 will make Gwadar a more appealing and efficient trade gateway for Pakistan and its neighboring countries, poised to stimulate economic growth and generate employment opportunities, facilitate the transportation of energy resources from the Middle East and other nations to Pakistan, addressing critical energy shortages and facilitating the movement of Thar coal within the country.

For China, this will open up a more direct and efficient trade route to the Arabian Sea, reducing both time and shipping costs for goods to and from western China, create opportunities for Chinese companies and enhance and provide China with an alternative and shorter route for importing energy resources from the Middle East.

Afghanistan, after prolonged advocacy, has finally agreed to become a partner in the CPEC. This participation holds the potential to significantly bolster Afghanistan’s economy by establishing it as a regional transit hub and promoting economic diversification. The railway project can serve as a vital transit route for Afghan goods to access international markets via Gwadar, potentially revitalizing Afghanistan’s economy.

For Central Asia, this railway offers new trade routes, granting access to the Arabian Sea and diversifying trade options. The increased trade has the potential to boost economic development and diversification in the region. While India is not directly connected to the project, it could potentially access Central Asian markets through Gwadar if tensions ease and trade relations improve between the nations.  The railway could provide Iran with better access to markets in China and Central Asia, enhancing trade opportunities and trade links can contribute to economic growth and regional stability.

There is a strong possibility of extending this railway link from China to Europe throughTurkey, which could yield numerous benefits for the countries along the route. This extension would enhance both regional and global trade by providing a more efficient and cost-effective trade route, fostering increased trade between Asia, Europe, and Central Asia. The result would be reduced transportation times and costs, making this route more competitive compared to other trade corridors, creating job opportunities, boosting local industries, and encouraging infrastructure investment. Additionally, Turkish and European markets would benefit from improved access to Central Asian and Chinese markets.

The railway’s potential to serve as a transit for cultural exchange and tourism between regions with diverse cultures and histories stimulating local economies and encouraging people-to-people connections.

Notably, rail transport is generally more environmentally friendly than other transportation modes, such as road or air transport, contributing to reduced carbon emissions. Moreover, the construction and maintenance of the railway would necessitate investments in transportation infrastructure, benefiting local communities. Successful implementation of such a project could strengthen diplomatic ties among countries involved and promote regional cooperation.

The construction of a railway line will bring about profound impacts on the Pakistani cities along its route in terms of economic, social, and infrastructural transformations that can reshape urban and rural landscapes.

Cities situated along the route are likely to experience notable economic growth, driven by increased trade and commerce, attracting businesses, investors, and logistics companies, creating new economic opportunities, driving job creation, raising income levels, and alleviating poverty in these areas.

Moreover, the railway project would facilitate the establishment of industrial zones and logistics hubs along the route, drawing manufacturing and distribution companies. This would lead to a surge in industrial activities in nearby cities, bringing an influx of workers and encouraging urbanization in the surrounding areas.

Ml-1 is likely to bring a significant investment in transportation infrastructure, including the development and upgrade of rail stations, logistics centers, roads, and utilities leading to an improvement in the quality of life for residents, providing enhanced transportation options and increased access to essential services.

The railway project will also prove highly beneficial for farmers and agricultural communities along the route. It will make it significantly easier for them to transport their produce to markets, both domestically and internationally, leading to increased agricultural production and higher incomes. Furthermore, improved access to urban centers will translate into greater access to education and healthcare services for rural populations. In addition, the railway project is poised to have a positive impact on the promotion of tourism in the country.

The perspectives of countries and regions on the BRI can vary widely, depending on their specific interests and concerns. The perspective of the Middle East in relation to this railway link is notably positive. Many Middle Eastern countries view BRI as a source of significant economic opportunities. Given their strategic location as potential hubs for trade and investment, they see the initiative as a means to boost economic growth, infrastructure development, and job creation.

The region, known for its substantial energy resources, often sees BRI projects focusing on energy infrastructure like pipelines and ports, which can help expand energy markets and diversify export routes. Additionally, the BRI is viewed as an opportunity to strengthen political and strategic ties with China, leveraging Chinese investments and cooperation for regional stability and development.

For many European countries, the BRI represents a means to enhance economic integration and trade relations with China. The development of transport and logistics infrastructure can greatly improve access to Chinese markets, making it an attractive prospect. European nations are keen on seeking investment opportunities in BRI projects, particularly in sectors such as transportation, energy, and telecommunications. Collaboration with China in research and innovation is also a priority for Europe.

In the context of African countries, the BRI offers valuable investments in infrastructure. Many of these nations often lack the necessary resources for comprehensive development, and BRI projects, including the construction of roads, railways, ports, and energy facilities, are pivotal in driving progress. The improved transportation infrastructure and enhanced connectivity through BRI projects can significantly enhance Africa’s trade capabilities and its access to global markets.

The United States is notably the country expressing concerns regarding the potential geopolitical implications of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and its capacity to expand China’s influence in various regions. The U.S. views the initiative as a challenge to its leadership and interests and has placed emphasis on the importance of transparency, fair competition, and adherence to international standards in BRI projects. It advocates for high environmental and social standards. In response to the BRI, the U.S. has sought to promote alternative investment initiatives, such as the “Free and Open Indo-Pacific” strategy, in an effort to counterbalance the influence exerted by the BRI.

The CPEC, a flagship project under the BRI, is delivering substantial results in Pakistan. With over $65 billion in Chinese investments, the initiative has seen the completion of more than 50 projects worth $25 billion, including the operationalization of the deep seaport of Gwadar. Moreover, significant strides have been made in the energy sector, with at least 8,000 megawatts of electricity injected into Pakistan’s national grid and plans for an additional 10,000 megawatts of clean energy projects within the next five years. CPEC is also creating industrial zones to attract both local and Chinese investors, particularly in mineral-rich Balochistan. These endeavors have already generated 200,000 jobs, built over 1,400 kilometers of highways and roads, and facilitated the handling of 600,000 tons of cargo at the port of Gwadar in the last 18 months, demonstrating the transformative impact of this vital economic corridor.

The Chinese government’s unwavering commitment to BRI, with CPEC as a shining example, is poised to make a resounding impact. The ML-1, bolstered by integrated world-class infrastructure in roads, highways, energy, and cyber projects, has the potential to extend its reach far beyond the boundaries of the BRI.

By seamlessly connecting with regional and international transport systems, this initiative can serve as a catalyst for bringing much-needed financial and economic prosperity to Pakistan, effectively pulling the nation out of its current financial and economic challenges, and propelling it towards a brighter and more prosperous future.

Qamar Bashir

Former Press Secretary to the President

Former Press Minister to the Embassy of Pakistan to France

Former MD, SRBC

Nawaz Sharif returns to Pakistan after 4 years

Nawaz Sharif returns to Pakistan after 4 years

ISLAMABAD, OCT 20: Deposed prime minister and proclaimed offender Nawaz Sharif returned to Pakistan on Saturday afternoon after spending four years in London.

The PML-N supremo’s legal team including former law minister Senator Azam Tarar and party leaders are present at the airport to receive him.

Tarar said Nawaz will be consulted on political and legal issues upon his arrival, adding that the ex-premier will head to the VIP lounge after landing.

He confirmed that the court staff also reached the airport and now “the legal process of security guarantee will be completed”.

Ex-deputy mayor Zeeshan Naqvi was also present at the airport along with the oath commissioner for signing legal documents. The legal team of Nawaz will go inside the plane to take his biometrics and signatures.

Before boarding his flight, Nawaz said he was “happy to return”. He is likely to face a host of legal challenges before embarking on his election campaign to rev up his party’s prospects in the lead-up to elections due in Jan next year.

Party leader Ishaq Dar said Nawaz would arrive at Minar-i-Pakistan at 5pm today on schedule to address the gathering.

“On a media channel, there is news that Mian Nawaz Sharif will first go to Jati Umra and will later go to Minar-i-Pakistan at 7pm. This news is not true,” he said in a post on X (formerly Twitter).

Nawaz’s party is rallying its base, urging supporters to converge on Minar-i-Pakistan in Lahore from around the country to greet their leader and showcase the undiminished popularity of the party, which has been declared ‘irrelevant’ by its rivals.

Observers say the reason Nawaz is arriving in Islamabad instead of Lahore is that his touchdown in the capital was necessary to make bail, earlier granted by the Islamabad High Court on Oct 19.

“I’m going back to Pakistan after four years today,” Nawaz said today while speaking to the media at Dubai Airport. “When I was leaving Pakistan and going abroad I had no feeling of happiness but today I am happy.”

The ousted premier added that it would have been very good if the situation of the country was better today as compared to 2017.

“I get very worried and disappointed seeing the situation in the country. The country that had to move forward is going backward now economically and unity-wise.”

Terming the situation as “worrisome”, Nawaz said there was still hope and “we should not let it slip from our hands as we are capable of fixing it because we spoilt it ourselves”.

He said the country had to get back on its feet as nobody would lift us up.

“When I remember Pakistan back then, I get hurt, we had said goodbye to the International Monetary Fund, electricity was cheap, the rupee was stable, there was employment, roti cost Rs4, a poor family’s child went to school and medicines were also cheap.”

Throws weight behind ECP
Nawaz said only the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) can decide when polls will be held, adding that it was the only competent authority and a fair election commission.

“Whatever date the ECP announces, everyone will [abide by it]. My priority is whatever the ECP says. Pakistan has a fair ECP today and I feel it will make the best decision with regards to the election.

“The process takes time. Some work is left. A census has been done. Delimitations have to be carried out. ECP has an eye on all these things.”

Lamenting the treatment meted out to him in the past, Nawaz said he was the person who had gone through 150 court hearings. “Not just me but also my daughter. She even got a clean chit. She had to get it. She didn’t have a position during my government, not even an office.”

He said fake cases were not just filed against his family including former prime minister and his brother Shehbaz Sharif but also ex-interior minister Rana Sanaullah Khan and PML-N leader Hanif Abbasi.

“I even said before leaving that I leave everything to Allah and I still continue doing that.”

Nawaz smirked and said “We are the May 28 ones” when asked about the May 9 violence allegedly carried out by the PTI.

Pakistan conducted nuclear tests on May 28, 1998, under the leadership of the then prime minister Nawaz.

PM Kakar calls for a just & lasting Palestinian solution

PM Kakar calls for a just & lasting Palestinian solution

ISLAMABAD, OCT 20 /DNA/ – Prime Minister Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar called Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas today to discuss the latest situation resulting from the ongoing brutalities of Israeli occupation forces against innocent Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.

The Prime Minister expressed Pakistan’s strong condemnation of the incessant and lethal bombardment by Israeli occupation forces, particularly the bombing of Al-Ahli hospital. He termed these as deplorable and willful acts of Israeli aggression against innocent Palestinians that caused loss of more than 3000 precious lives and left over 12000 injured.

Both leaders emphasized the need for the international community to urge Israel to immediately halt the bloodshed. They also agreed on the necessity of lifting the blockade on Gaza to facilitate delivery of vital humanitarian aid and medical assistance to the affected people. Pakistan has also dispatched its first batch of humanitarian assistance for Palestinian people that landed in Egypt yesterday.

The Prime Minister stressed that the international community, particularly the United Nations, needed to take resolute measures to resolve this crisis and uphold established principles of justice, humanity and international law.

The Prime Minister also reaffirmed Pakistan’s unwavering commitment to a just and lasting resolution of the Palestinian conflict, based on the “two-state” solution, leading to the establishment of a sovereign and viable Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital, and the borders that existed prior to 1967.

President Mahmoud Abbas thanked Pakistan for longstanding and sustained support to the Palestinian people in their struggle for freedom from Israeli occupation.

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